I disagree on TX9, things are heating up and 69 days is a lot of time for things to sway. Based on what I'm seeing, everything is moving in the right direction. I think that one will be a surprise hold for us. I respect Cook, but there is only so much data you can gather from an area, especially an area averse to taking polls. I'm not expecting a blow out, but it will be much closer than polling and Cook suggests. I expect a 1-2 point win by Gutierrez.
I disagree on TX9, things are heating up and 69 days is a lot of time for things to sway. Based on what I'm seeing, everything is moving in the right direction. I think that one will be a surprise hold for us. I respect Cook, but there is only so much data you can gather from an area, especially an area averse to taking polls. I'm not expecting a blow out, but it will be much closer than polling and Cook suggests. I expect a 1-2 point win by Gutierrez.
100% In campaign terms, we have a long time. And beyond TX09, I’d be watching TX27, TX05, TX06, TX10, just to name a few off the top of my head.
We’re 69 days from the election but America is 40 days from running out of oil. So much can change.