The GOP’s Favorite Texas Voter Was Always The One Who Stayed Home

This year, they’re showing up anyway.

Oct 27, 2026

According to Ethan Chen, Republicans are preparing for a Southern Armageddon. He predicts the midterm blue wave will hit the Bible Belt and Great Plains hardest. His evidence combines Republican spending and Southern polling.

DeCalibrate

Republicans Are Preparing for Southern Armageddon

A couple months ago, it was novel to observe that a blue wave midterm had unambiguously arrived. Now, as we head into the final week of the campaign, that statement almost feels quaint. Democrats have been uncharacteristically confident, spending millions to contest targets as red as Mississippi. But if Democrats seem to expect a wave, Republicans seem …

a day ago · 58 likes · 4 comments · Ethan Chen

We’ve been watching these numbers all week, Texas’ turnout far exceeding previous cycles, and I’ve been saying, “It looks good for Democrat…

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