Lone Star Left

Lone Star Left

What Happens When A Non-Voting State Starts Voting?

In Texas, every time turnout goes up, Republican margins go down. Every time.

Michelle H. Davis's avatar
Michelle H. Davis
Oct 23, 2026

Everyone says there is something in the air in Texas, and it’s more than your usual petrochemical haze. Until the night of November 3, we won’t know the real answer, but I wanted to explain why I think turnout is the biggest indicator among all the “signs” and “signals” politicos keep guessing at with Texas data.

Let’s start with our bellwether counties…

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