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Liza Hameline's avatar

Irving turnout in 2nd in the county. And as you know I could give a shit about city, district, county lines. Keep poking this mama bear and she is gonna sink her claws in you. No matter how they draw these maps, I will continue to knock on doors, cause we might be gerrymandered but we can win state wide. I will knock on doors in red red red districts. I will not stop. Ever.

Michelle H. Davis's avatar

Just keep swimming. 🐟

Liza Hameline's avatar

Dori said it all. And that is what we do.

Michelle H. Davis's avatar

That's why moms know best. 🫶🏻

Liza Hameline's avatar

And we mama bears stick together. Claws and all. Do not poke me. Oh, and that is why we always choose the bear. Cause that is our cub. My district is my baby, every single voter, every single chair. My gerrymandered every two years, totally written off, forgotten district.

Marc Meyer's avatar

In MoCo, 58.8% of the early vote/BBM were R primary voters, 38.6% were D, and 2.6 were not primary voters in MoCo. The primary composition of MoCo SD04 was 69.6 R/30.4% D.

2022 SD04 was 75/25 in MoCo, 70/30 in the district. My over/under is 40% for Dems in MoCo. If I am right, that will send shockwave through the establishment here.

Polls open in 4 minutes.

Michelle H. Davis's avatar

He only needs a 30 point swing to win, and while the majority is in Montgomery, I’m also hearing there’s a bigger surge in the parts of this district that’s in Jefferson County, which is a huge indication.

Marc Meyer's avatar

I hope that is true, but I am really bothered by the initial results out of Montgomery. The BBM seems to track well with the primary vote (Angletti getting 37.6 with the primary BBM vote at 37.47 Dem (not counting the no primary voters)

I mean they are showing early voting at 16.1% for Angletti, which is 23 points lower than the Dem primary vote that voted in the special election, which doesn't make sense unless there was massive crossover voting from Republicans in the Dem primary.

Mubashir Saleem's avatar

My mental health is in all time drain. But i am not giving up. I am praying, donating and i am possibly gonna consider phonebanking for the downballot candidates because this fucking disgusting evil needs to stop. This is too much and Texas is gonna the epicenter and battleground of who truly wields power. This is the state that will decide everything and i swear to the dems will capture a significant portion of the downballot races. It is not enough to win Talarico senate seat. We need to win everywhere.

Michelle H. Davis's avatar

There was a period of time in America when Black men were murdered for registering people to vote. There were times when federal troops were stationed in cities across the South to enforce voting rights. And how bad can it get? Google the Greenwood Food Blockade. I promise it has been a lot worse. At one period of time, teenagers were dragged out of their homes, mutilated, and murdered for the accusation of whistling at a white woman.

In America, things have been uglier. In America, things have been worse. We're all at risk, yes. But we aren't helpless. People before us organized under conditions we can barely imagine. The least we can do is keep showing up, phonebanking, voting, building something better piece by piece. And if you EVER need a break, TAKE IT, and don't feel bad about it. We all understand mental health in this space.

Mubashir Saleem's avatar

I know. believe me i know and oh boy how i regret we werent able to finish reconstruction by dear god. But this country doesnt really give you a chance to get a break, Its so messed up how we have to live in this reality.

Michelle H. Davis's avatar

Which is why, to this day, I struggle with calling Donald Trump the worst president, over Andrew Johnson, who pardoned the Confederates and unleashed 100 years of terror on the South.

Thornton Prayer's avatar

You forgot Buchanan. If Andrew Johnson was the coda, Buchanan's racist doddering fostered the already burning embers leading up to the Civil War to grow.

Michelle H. Davis's avatar

Fair point. Buchanan broke the country. Johnson made sure Reconstruction never fixed it.

Stephanie Ferguson's avatar

Here's the link to sign up to volunteer for the down ballot races. Texas Together is a coordinated campaign for all the Dems. https://share.google/ROLNzFXqjdkaybCcp

Robin Herskowitz's avatar

Michelle, I take your postings quite seriously. I saw this posting last night and finished reading it this morning. Most of my grandmother's people died in the Holocaust, so I'm more aware than most how quickly one can lose their rights. I've treated our political situation as the crisis it is since 2015. Right now, I'm focusing on reaching youth and young adults by volunteering with the League of Women Voters, First Vote, and Powdered by People with their college campus tour. I'm also trying to organize my neighbors. I would be grateful for any other specific thoughts on how to best meet the moment.

Michelle H. Davis's avatar

Thank you. I think what you’re doing is definitely the right thing. It’s absolutely alarming what’s happening in our country right now. But that’s what we can do right now, organize locally, inform those around us (you’d be surprised), and continue registering people to vote.

Be glad Texas already has their primaries, because Louisiana just postponed theirs until they redraw their maps.

We have to get everyone to vote this year. Like I said, you’re doing the right things. My message was more toward those who weren’t, but if you’re looking to get involved more, there is always your county party and a ton of candidates running for office.

Robin Herskowitz's avatar

Thank you for your quick reply. This past week, I wrote my "peeps" a "Why I'm Hopeful" note built around the gains DEMS made in special and early elections, and these numbers:

1. Of Texas's 17.58 million registered voters, almost 47% are Democrats, 38% are Republicans, and 16% are independents.(https://independentvoterproject.org/voter-stats/tx)

While 81% of Texas Republicans view the Trump administration favorably, 86% of Democrats and 65% of independents view it unfavorably. (https://texaspolitics.utexas.edu/set/donald-trump-favorability-trend#independents)

2. Texas voters with an unfavorable view of Trump outnumber those with a favorable view by over 3.5 million.

3. Texas Democrats broke records in the March 2026 primary, turning out 2.3 million voters—more than Republicans for the first time since 2020, showing enthusiasm is on our side.

That said, what is happening in Louisiana scares the sh*t out of me. I'm afraid it will be contagious and infect adjacent states.

Mubashir Saleem's avatar

according to the data that you linked. So it appears that its dependent at turnout at this rate. We have to turnout as many dems and independents as we can.

Robin Herskowitz's avatar

Hi Mubashir, You are correct. At the moment, the momentum is ours, but who shows up is everything.

Mubashir Saleem's avatar

That is the challenge there. Texas is like a whole another country and thanks to the republicans limiting restrictions on corporate influence its so expensive and hard to fight that counterbalance

Cynthia Phillips's avatar

I agree. What will happen is unless we push Republicans out of power in the legislature, they will redistrict every time voters elect their preferred representatives over MAGA and Tim Dunn’s representatives. This election is huge. Abbott, Patrick, the Comptroller, the Ag Commmissioner and the AG are all up this year.

Stephanie Ferguson's avatar

Here's the link to sign up to volunteer for Texas Together, the coordinated organizing campaign for the state Dems. https://share.google/ROLNzFXqjdkaybCcp

Thornton Prayer's avatar

Well as expected black people tried to warn everyone else about the consequence. A few listened but a lot of people actually gloated in their anti-black racism only to sit down to a full course meal of FAFO.

We'll get through this mess but it will take a lot of courage and focus. We can do this by sustaining the necessary will to confront this ugliness for what it is - treason and hatred for America. Let's start there and let the games begin.

Michelle H. Davis's avatar

I've been thinking, when Democrats take control, they plan to do "independent redistricting commissions," to make sure all is fair across the board, but maybe they should eye-for-an-eye this bitch and end the Republican Party.

Thornton Prayer's avatar

Oh absolutely. We need to go scorched earth politically and institutionally. I haven't used this phrase in a long time but to paraphrase Scipio Africanus during the Second Punic War, GOP Delenda Est. That should be our motto going forward.

Michelle H. Davis's avatar

Googling it right now.

Keely Vanacker's avatar

I've thought about this right here. What happens when we do take over? If we immediately institute gerrymandering reforms, we will turn around and lose races in the next round simply because any good that might get through the legislative process will not have been felt by the people. And Republicans thrive really well when they have an enemy.

What I really hope we do once in power, is take legislative hearings on the road. Especially when it comes to Healthcare, education and hopefully what will be investigations. People pay more attention when its happening in their own backyard.

Michelle H. Davis's avatar

Yeah, I’m inclined to agree.

Mubashir Saleem's avatar

at this point i am inclined to agree. Unless we introduce a federal ban on partisan gerrymandering and introduce the FRA act for a proportional representation for all of our races to make it more friendly for minority representation and minor political parties. We need to lock down Texas. They wont stop unless you permanently remove their ability to gain any ground. With the voting rights act destroyed. We cannot afford any chances of playing 'fair". It only becomes fair if we introduce reform to supreme court and federal laws

Stephanie Ferguson's avatar

I hope we get a federal gerrymandering ban, but that will only be for federal races. I don't want us to have gerrymandered state races, either. It will create a backlash if we do that. I want districts to reflect natural communities, and not be amoeba-shaped Hopefully we can have more competitive districts. That tends to disadvantage extremists. But we'll need to take the state House at least. We need Gina for this. And Clayton Tucker to put the brakes on data centers.

Mubashir Saleem's avatar

That is the most frustrating part. Gerrymandering has to be banned on all sides. I am wonder if there are avenues to significantly reduce or ban gerrymandering in local and state races. Its a freaking poison to this country and whoever invented it deserves to have their grave spit on

Stephanie Ferguson's avatar

That was done in California and Virginia. They undid it rather than let the GOP gerrymander all the red states unanswered.

Eva Camacho Guzman's avatar

May 2 is an Election Day. In Bexar County only 6105 votes have been cast. I believe it is for around 100,000 people. So that is 6% so far. Why don’t people take voting seriously! I hope they are voting in other parts of Texas.

C Murphy's avatar

Thank you, Michelle!!! Just shared on bsky!